Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.191354 0.204283 0.217850 0.233184 0.250077 0.268169 0.289075
2025-06-01 0.164074 0.182927 0.203970 0.229376 0.259458 0.294243 0.337955
2025-06-08 0.146266 0.168301 0.194043 0.226730 0.267704 0.318167 0.386322
2025-06-15 0.136140 0.160709 0.190508 0.229988 0.281988 0.349754 0.447632
2025-06-22 0.124648 0.149951 0.181513 0.224705 0.283835 0.364466 0.487597
2025-06-29 0.114053 0.139239 0.171352 0.216448 0.280151 0.370350 0.514801
2025-07-06 0.105608 0.130567 0.163000 0.209586 0.277255 0.376394 0.542334
2025-07-13 0.101938 0.127832 0.162207 0.212880 0.288916 0.404917 0.609833
2025-07-20 0.098532 0.125150 0.161180 0.215573 0.299706 0.433120 0.681600
2025-07-27 0.095004 0.122031 0.159250 0.216649 0.307913 0.457910 0.751715
2025-08-03 0.091168 0.118231 0.156052 0.215466 0.312252 0.476499 0.813435
2025-08-10 0.087321 0.114190 0.152227 0.212964 0.314068 0.490704 0.868963
2025-08-17 0.082912 0.109226 0.146905 0.207955 0.311588 0.497533 0.912097
2025-08-24 0.079377 0.105387 0.143086 0.205130 0.312705 0.511459 0.975093
2025-08-31 0.076296 0.102061 0.139847 0.202989 0.314784 0.527484 1.047255
2025-09-07 0.074675 0.100799 0.139659 0.205815 0.326003 0.563246 1.178795
2025-09-14 0.071466 0.097001 0.135317 0.201301 0.323126 0.569285 1.233405
2025-09-21 0.067894 0.092514 0.129684 0.194221 0.314759 0.562478 1.250339
2025-09-28 0.064810 0.088659 0.124890 0.188322 0.308202 0.558901 1.276325
2025-10-05 0.063804 0.087951 0.125082 0.191156 0.318973 0.595772 1.438384
2025-10-12 0.062745 0.087108 0.125000 0.193470 0.328910 0.632354 1.615259
2025-10-19 0.061465 0.085864 0.124191 0.194394 0.336056 0.663392 1.787274
2025-10-26 0.059883 0.084079 0.122399 0.193379 0.339001 0.684372 1.931682